[{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"Article","@id":"https:\/\/www.smpw.cz\/svetove-ekonomice-se-dari-proc-je-tedy-nalada-mezi-politiky-tak-ponura\/#Article","mainEntityOfPage":"https:\/\/www.smpw.cz\/svetove-ekonomice-se-dari-proc-je-tedy-nalada-mezi-politiky-tak-ponura\/","headline":"Sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomice se da\u0159\u00ed. Pro\u010d je tedy n\u00e1lada mezi politiky tak ponur\u00e1?","name":"Sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomice se da\u0159\u00ed. Pro\u010d je tedy n\u00e1lada mezi politiky tak ponur\u00e1?","description":"„Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dobr\u00e9 \u010dasy nebudou trvat dlouho,“ \u0159ekl Maurice Obstfeld, hlavn\u00ed ekonom Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho m\u011bnov\u00e9ho fondu (MMF), kdy\u017e zve\u0159ejnil posledn\u00ed predikce fondu, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1daj\u00ed solidn\u00ed expanzi sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomiky v roce 2018, a to o 3,9 %. Podobn\u011b se vyj\u00e1d\u0159ila i jeho hlavn\u00ed nad\u0159\u00edzen\u00e1, gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editelka MMF, Christine Lagardeov\u00e1, uvedla: „Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky vypadaj\u00ed sv\u011btle, ale u\u017e lze pozorovat […]","datePublished":"2023-05-05","dateModified":"2023-05-05","author":{"@type":"Person","@id":"https:\/\/www.smpw.cz\/author\/#Person","name":"","url":"https:\/\/www.smpw.cz\/author\/","identifier":1,"image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d89f66f31d15c86aaa67b2d500e11b783534f791bc2a93dd89895a03d043c162?s=96&d=mm&r=g","url":"https:\/\/secure.gravatar.com\/avatar\/d89f66f31d15c86aaa67b2d500e11b783534f791bc2a93dd89895a03d043c162?s=96&d=mm&r=g","height":96,"width":96}},"publisher":{"@type":"Organization","name":"smpw.cz","logo":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"\/logo.png","url":"\/logo.png","width":600,"height":60}},"image":{"@type":"ImageObject","@id":"https:\/\/www.smpw.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/img_a314707_w2542_t1525725004.jpg","url":"https:\/\/www.smpw.cz\/wp-content\/uploads\/img_a314707_w2542_t1525725004.jpg","height":0,"width":0},"url":"https:\/\/www.smpw.cz\/svetove-ekonomice-se-dari-proc-je-tedy-nalada-mezi-politiky-tak-ponura\/","about":["Ekonomika"],"wordCount":402,"articleBody":"„Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 dobr\u00e9 \u010dasy nebudou trvat dlouho,“ \u0159ekl Maurice Obstfeld, hlavn\u00ed ekonom Mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edho m\u011bnov\u00e9ho fondu (MMF), kdy\u017e zve\u0159ejnil posledn\u00ed predikce fondu, kter\u00e9 p\u0159edpokl\u00e1daj\u00ed solidn\u00ed expanzi sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomiky v roce 2018, a to o 3,9 %. Podobn\u011b se vyj\u00e1d\u0159ila i jeho hlavn\u00ed nad\u0159\u00edzen\u00e1, gener\u00e1ln\u00ed \u0159editelka MMF, Christine Lagardeov\u00e1, uvedla: „Sou\u010dasn\u00e9 vyhl\u00eddky vypadaj\u00ed sv\u011btle, ale u\u017e lze pozorovat i temn\u011bj\u0161\u00ed mraky.“
 
 Pesimismus mezi tv\u016frci hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky, kte\u0159\u00ed se tento t\u00fdden \u00fa\u010dastn\u00ed jarn\u00edch setk\u00e1n\u00ed MMF a Sv\u011btov\u00e9 banky ve Washingtonu, kontrastuje s d\u011bn\u00edm na finan\u010dn\u00edch trz\u00edch. Co tedy ekonomy znepokojuje nejv\u00edce? Nech\u00e1vaj\u00ed se snad ve sv\u00fdch p\u0159edpov\u011bd\u00edch ovliv\u0148ovat vlastn\u00edmi politick\u00fdmi preferencemi? Nebo je sv\u011btov\u00e1 ekonomika i p\u0159i sv\u00e9 zd\u00e1nliv\u00e9 prosperit\u011b doopravdy ohro\u017eena? Pod\u00edvejme se na vz\u00e1jemn\u011b souvisej\u00edc\u00ed hrozby, kter\u00e9 ekonomov\u00e9 pozoruj\u00ed.
 
 Obavy z obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lky
 Donald Trump se minul\u00fd m\u011bs\u00edc na Twitteru vyj\u00e1d\u0159il, \u017ee obchodn\u00ed v\u00e1lky jsou „dobr\u00e9 a lze v nich snadno zv\u00edt\u011bzit“, ale je jist\u00e9, \u017ee vedouc\u00ed p\u0159edstavitel\u00e9 hospod\u00e1\u0159sk\u00e9 politiky nesouhlas\u00ed. Naopak vid\u00ed riziko zk\u00e1zy v Trumpov\u00fdch tarifech a cyklu odvetn\u00fdch opat\u0159en\u00ed, kter\u00e1 by mohla naru\u0161it dodavatelsk\u00e9 \u0159et\u011bzce firem a zp\u016fsobit propad sv\u011btov\u00e9ho obchodu.
 
 Sv\u011bt finan\u010dn\u00ed nerovnov\u00e1hy
 Sv\u011btov\u00fdm politick\u00fdm l\u00eddr\u016fm ned\u011blaj\u00ed starosti pouze konflikty v oblasti obchodu. Pozoruj\u00ed tak\u00e9 rod\u00edc\u00ed se finan\u010dn\u00ed nerovnov\u00e1hu a rizika, kter\u00e1 by mohla zp\u016fsobit nebo i prohloubit dal\u0161\u00ed pokles.
 
 Vysok\u00fd dluh, n\u00edzk\u00e9 sazby a dal\u0161\u00ed recese
 Sp\u00ed\u0161e ne\u017e aby vyu\u017eily obdob\u00ed stability a prosperity ke spl\u00e1cen\u00ed dluh\u016f, n\u011bkter\u00e9 z nejv\u00fdznamn\u011bj\u0161\u00edch ekonomik vol\u00ed opa\u010dn\u00fd sm\u011br. A tak nap\u0159\u00edklad roste \u00farove\u0148 ve\u0159ejn\u00e9ho dluhu ve Spojen\u00fdch st\u00e1tech a vysok\u00e1 je i \u00farove\u0148 soukrom\u00e9ho dluhu v \u010c\u00edn\u011b.
 
 Znepokojen\u00ed lid\u00e9
 Centr\u00e1ln\u00ed bank\u00e9\u0159i, minist\u0159i financ\u00ed nebo pracovn\u00edci MMF maj\u00ed \u010dasto tendenci se ob\u00e1vat p\u0159\u00edpadn\u00fdch ekonomick\u00fdch v\u00fdkyv\u016f a tak\u00e9 kladou v\u011bt\u0161\u00ed d\u016fv\u011bru ne\u017e v\u011bt\u0161ina lid\u00ed do mezin\u00e1rodn\u00edch instituc\u00ed, na nich\u017e spo\u010d\u00edv\u00e1 celosv\u011btov\u00fd obchodn\u00ed syst\u00e9m. A pr\u00e1v\u011b k n\u011bmu se Trumpova administrativa stav\u00ed hluboce skepticky.
                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                                         4.5\/5 - (15 votes)        "},{"@context":"https:\/\/schema.org\/","@type":"BreadcrumbList","itemListElement":[{"@type":"ListItem","position":1,"name":"Sv\u011btov\u00e9 ekonomice se da\u0159\u00ed. Pro\u010d je tedy n\u00e1lada mezi politiky tak ponur\u00e1?","item":"https:\/\/www.smpw.cz\/svetove-ekonomice-se-dari-proc-je-tedy-nalada-mezi-politiky-tak-ponura\/#breadcrumbitem"}]}]